The 50% divorce rate is a commonly quoted statistic…that’s not quite accurate. It’s a predictive rather than descriptive stat — a guess as to how today’s marriages will turn out tomorrow. Factors like age and education at the time of marriage and number of previous marriages also vary the divorce rate such that a single round number isn’t too useful in judging a relationship’s potential.
Even so, you don’t need statistics to know that “marriage” is in trouble (and not because of “teh gays”). Marital failures are happening in every neighborhood of every city, and stretch across all races, religions, and social classes. Couple that with a falling marriage rate and the trend for successful, long-term married couples can look bleak even if the specific numbers are up for debate.
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